15 March 2025
Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a notable price recovery, reclaiming the $85,000 level after a 4.3% increase in the past 24 hours. This rebound has sparked renewed optimism among investors, who are now looking for signs of further momentum in the market.
However, while Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential uptrend, on-chain data suggests that market demand remains weak, which could impact the sustainability of this rally.
Bitcoin Demand Drops Despite Price Recovery
Recent on-chain analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost has revealed that Bitcoin’s current demand is at its weakest level of the year. His research highlights a key supply-demand ratio, showing a steady decline in Bitcoin accumulation since December 2024.
This lack of demand, coupled with ongoing economic and political uncertainty, may indicate that investors are exercising caution before making larger commitments.
According to Darkfost’s analysis, Bitcoin demand is measured by comparing new supply entering the market to the supply that has remained inactive for over a year. When this ratio falls below zero, it indicates that fewer BTC are being actively accumulated, which can signal a negative demand shift.
The weakest Bitcoin demand of the year
“Demand has been weakening since December and continues to decline over time. This suggests that investors are becoming more cautious and may be shifting toward less risky assets.” – By @Darkfost_Coc
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https://t.co/0aw9CEFHPe pic.twitter.com/NRqS1k6t3g
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 14, 2025
His findings suggest that investor interest in Bitcoin has been weakening for months, despite short-term price movements suggesting otherwise.
The decline in demand aligns with broader economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. Investors appear to be moving towards less volatile assets, which could explain the gradual slowdown in Bitcoin’s accumulation rate, Darkfost reveals.
While this does not necessarily signal a bearish outlook, it does suggest that market conditions remain fragile, and Bitcoin’s price action may be highly reactive to upcoming economic events.
Key Levels and BTC Predictions
Despite the concerns surrounding weaker demand, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. Javon Marks, a widely followed crypto analyst, has shared a Bitcoin price target of over $500,000.
This pattern confirmation on Bitcoin suggests to get ready for All Time Highs to return because strength is still underlying in prices despite the pullbacks!
A massive +36% recovery, pre-continuation, and based on the previous setup, the continuation can be massive.$BTC https://t.co/Rrlh2QHMpK pic.twitter.com/1bj1T8IJHG
— JAVON
MARKS (@JavonTM1) March 13, 2025
He pointed out that historical price structures indicate the possibility of a major bull phase, suggesting that BTC may be approaching its strongest bullish period yet. Additionally, another analyst, Ali, highlighted Bitcoin’s recent ascending triangle formation, a pattern that typically signals a breakout opportunity.
In his analysis, Ali noted that if BTC were to break past the $84,000 resistance level, a 9% price surge could follow. As of now, BTC has already surpassed this critical level, raising the possibility of an extended rally if buying pressure sustains.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView