12 November 2023
In addition to the widespread attention and media coverage, there exist many elements and forces that have the potential to significantly influence the trajectory of Bitcoin.
In the face of the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrencies, as the year 2023 draws to a close, there exists a climate of conjecture, optimism, and tangible eagerness.
Bitcoin, the pioneering digital entity, finds itself amidst this tumultuous environment, projecting a substantial influence of possibilities and prospects.
The inquiry arises: Is it plausible that in 2024, the attainment of the highly sought-after $100,000 threshold will be realized?
Bitcoin To $100K – The Main Catalyst
The primary catalyst now under consideration is the anticipated legalization of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which is a topic of widespread interest.
Growing speculation that the US Securities and Exchange Commission may approve a spot Bitcoin ETF is what’s fueling the revival of bitcoin. Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence have projected a 90% possibility of approval for this vehicle, which may allow significant institutional investors with US headquarters to enter the cryptocurrency market before January 10 next year.
Bitcoin is currently displaying a robust technical outlook with an overwhelmingly bullish sentiment. TradingView’s one-day indicators give a ‘buy’ rating for 15 indicators, with moving averages signaling a ‘strong buy’ for 13, while seven indicators remain neutral.
This technical strength aligns with the recent surge in Bitcoin’s value, primarily fueled by widespread anticipation surrounding the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF.
A More Accommodating Stance By The Fed
Another possible factor that could stimulate change is the US Federal Reserve adopting a more cooperative approach.
Over the past 18 months, the central bank has used a proactive approach of raising interest rates in order to address the issue of inflation, and there is a possibility that this policy position may be sustained.
If Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell and his staff feel confident in their efforts to effectively control inflation, it is possible that they may not only halt the increase of interest rates but also consider reducing them by 2024.
The interconnected nature of financial markets and policy decisions underscores the need for vigilant observation as we navigate the evolving landscape of economic dynamics.
Bitcoin Halving Could Be A Game-Changer
The next halving of Bitcoin, an intriguing event that happens around every four years and cuts the pace of inflation in half, is the third thing that might change the game drastically.
This halving, which is scheduled for April 2024, will provide a new supply schedule for Bitcoin and significantly reduce its annual inflation rate in comparison to precious metals, like gold.
This is an important factor, not just a quirk. The price of Bitcoin will inevitably rise as long as demand for it keeps growing and there is less supply available. The story of Bitcoin’s history confirms this, with strong bull markets usually commencing in the months preceding and succeeding a halving.
In the midst of the dynamic cryptocurrency landscape, the close of 2023 sets the stage for Bitcoin’s journey into 2024. With factors like regulatory decisions on spot ETFs, the Federal Reserve’s policy shifts, and the intriguing prospect of Bitcoin halving, the narrative unfolds with promise.
Could the sought-after $100,000 threshold become reality? As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, opportunities abound for those ready to navigate the winds of change in this digital frontier.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $37,075, down 0.1% in the last 24 hours, and sustained a 5.4% increase in the last seven days, data from Coingecko shows.
(This site’s content should not be construed as investment advice. Investing involves risk. When you invest, your capital is subject to risk).
Featured image from iStock